Market UpdateMonthly Newsletter June 6, 2024

Buyer Demand Persists and Seller Equity Soars Amongst Interest Rate Volatility

As we sit almost five months into 2024 in the middle of the spring market and I reflect on how the year is going, I am grateful, amazed, and locked in on the stats. You see, the last four years since the start of the pandemic have been an eventful and wild ride. 2020 saw a brief halt in sales when the shelter-in-place order went into effect, and once protocols were established to make real estate essential, the market started to take off. Many people utilized that time to re-evaluate where they wanted to live, whether that meant in a different state, from an urban location to a rural setting, or from a shared condo building to a single-family residential house.

This re-organization of where people wanted to live was coupled with historically low interest rates that hovered in the 3% range, leading to the highest number of recorded closed sales in 2020 and 2021 that we had seen in over a decade. All of this activity took place while inflation was on a stubborn uphill trajectory, causing the Fed to make some big rate increases to help combat consumer spending in 2022.

Rates increased by three percentage points from February 2022 (3.9%) to October 2022 (7%) and have remained in that higher range ever since. This quickly put a stall on buyer demand as monthly payments quickly became more expensive, putting downward pressure on affordability. This caused a correction in prices from the peak in spring 2022 to the first quarter of 2023 when prices bottomed out.

In King County, prices corrected from the peak to the bottom by 20%, and in Snohomish County, 17%. Prices started to bounce back from the bottoming out in the spring of 2023, and since then have increased 24% in King County and 13% in Snohomish County. While prices were stabilizing and then growing from Q1 2023 until now, interest rates have hovered in the 7% range. Buyer demand slowly regained its footing throughout 2023 and when the calendar turned to 2024, buyers started to come out in force despite the interest rates never returning to historic lows. It is safe to say that many buyers have accepted the higher interest rates as the new normal.

In this new normal, monthly payments are high as prices remain stable and have had extreme appreciation since the start of 2024. In King County, prices have grown by 16% from Dec 2023 to April 2024 and in Snohomish County by 14%. At the end of 2023, it was reported that the average homeowner had at least 60% home equity in King County and 57.5% in Snohomish County. That equity measurement doesn’t include the price growth we have experienced so far in 2024.

Rates have remained stubborn due to inflation still being a challenge. Inflation has tempered, but not to the 2% year-over-year level the Fed wants to see before easing interest rates. The Fed met at the beginning of May and indicated that rates will slowly come down in the second half of 2024 and into 2025 if inflation rates reach that 2% year-over-year mark. That will be a key marker to track as the Fed Chairman, Jerome Powell has made it clear that will be what it takes to cause rate relief.

Some buyers may wait to enter the market once rates have eased, and many are jumping in now as they are happy to secure today’s prices. Demand will only increase when rates improve, which should most likely cause additional price growth. Creative financing options such as interest rate buy-downs and ARM (Adjustable-Rate Mortgage) loans have helped buyers manage their monthly payments when making a purchase. The key factor I help the buyers I serve stay focused on, is the affordability of their monthly payments.

This focus has proven to be the most productive and strategic number to stay connected with to help a buyer remain confident and effective. Buyers often make adjustments in price point, features, and/or location to match up a manageable monthly payment with the home they buy. Analyzing the trends, stats, and values from one area to the next is an exercise that helps buyers gain clarity. We often say that when a buyer finds a home that matches 75-85% of their criteria they are in striking distance to make an offer. In a seller’s market like this, buyers must make compromises to succeed.

A bright light for buyers is that we have seen a recent jump in new listings. There were 30% more new listings in April 2024 over April 2023 in King County and 32% more in Snohomish County. With seller equity so high and pent-up seller motivation boiling over, we are finally starting to see additional inventory come to market. We are still experiencing tight inventory, but it is growing. This is providing some additional selection and should hopefully continue throughout 2024.

Continuing my daily, weekly, monthly, and annual commitment to studying the market is a benefit to the clients I serve. Understanding how inventory, rates, and prices all relate to each other helps me provide valuable insights for clients so they can appropriately strategize when they want to enter the market. These trends vary from one city to the next, in different price points and property types. If you are curious about how today’s trends relate to your real estate goals, please reach out. Further, if you know someone who needs my assistance, please direct them my way. It is my goal to help keep my clients well-informed to empower strong decisions.

Market UpdateMonthly Newsletter June 6, 2024

Three Hot Buttons in Real Estate

The real estate industry has been in the news a bit lately. Not so much about the trends and home values. More so about class action lawsuits, which have stolen a lot of attention away from the positive activity that is happening in our market. While the lawsuit is an important story to track, one critical item to mention is that WA has already complied with the majority of what the proposed lawsuit settlement is suggesting.

New laws went into place on Jan 1, 2024, that complemented changes our MLS started making in 2019. We have been smooth sailing for almost four months bringing heightened transparency to every real estate transaction we do with new laws, forms, and procedures. The national hype has caused a stir, so before I get into the three important trends, I wanted to let you know that WA is ahead of the curve. If you have any questions on how to distinguish the national headlines from the local truth, please don’t hesitate to contact me.

 

INFLATION: Interest Rates & Insurance

Inflation has been a hot topic for a few years now. We all know the cost of groceries, gas, and everyday items are higher than they were just a few years ago. This caused interest rates to increase in spring 2022, hovering between 6.25-7.5% over the last 2 years. Despite these rate increases we have watched the real estate market and home values recover and start to appreciate again. The median price in Snohomish County is up 5% in Q1 2024 over Q1 2023 and up 13% in King County. The spring market has sprung!

The lending costs to purchase a home have increased and it has limited and sidelined some buyers.  However, many are finding ways to make it work and demand is strong with the return of multiple offers and price escalations on well-priced and presented listings. If you are waiting for rates to come down, also pay attention to prices as it is a delicate balance of affordability. The option to re-finance your interest rate down the road if rates dip will decrease your monthly payment while keeping your loan balance fixed.

Homeowners Insurance has also been hit hard by inflation and a heightened amount of claims over the last four years. Natural disasters such as fires, floods, and earthquakes have depleted many insurance companies’ reserves causing them to re-calibrate their rates across the board to keep up. You may have seen an increase in your rate. With home values and goods on the rise, it is important that you have your home and belongings adequately insured.

I’d suggest you check in with your carrier to make sure they have your home and your belongings properly valued. With market dynamics quickly shifting I’d caution you from grabbing your home value from an online estimator such as Zillow or your insurer’s automated program. Those algorithms are most often inaccurate which could leave you under-insured. I’m happy to help you assess the current value of your home in today’s market so you can properly calibrate your homeowner’s insurance in this volatile insurance environment.

 

HOME EQUITY Movement:

According to ATTOM data, 67.4% of homeowners in the U.S. have at least 50% home equity, with 38.7% owning their homes free and clear. Locally, the average homeowner in Snohomish County has 57.5% home equity, and in King County 60%. Those local figures were reported in Q4 2023 and we have seen a jump in values since then indicating that those figures are now higher.

The point is that home equity is strong for many homeowners, which allows homeowners who are looking to make a move to use creative options to make those moves smooth. We are in a competitive seller’s market so trying to purchase a home contingent on the sale of your current home is a challenging feat. At Windermere, we have the awesome Windermere Bridge Loan Program (WBLP) that helps people tap into their equity to make their next purchase instead of having to sell their homes first.

The WBLP does not require an appraisal like a Home Equity Line of Credit (HELOC), is quickly approved, and does not require monthly payments. The loan balance and any accrued interest are paid off when the collateral property is sold, allowing buyers who are also sellers to easily utilize their equity and not have to move twice. I’ve even seen the collateral property close first if strategized properly. This eliminates having to fund the Bridge Loan altogether, yet it was used to make that buyer’s offer competitive and helped them win the house for their next chapter in life.

 

HOME PREPARATION Overwhelm:

One of the biggest tasks I assist clients with is preparing their homes for the market. How a home comes to market can make a huge difference in the bottom line. Remedying deferred maintenance, making home improvements, remodeling, clean-up, purging, and merchandising can all contribute to a seller making more money on closing day. Creating a punch list of items that will create the most favorable return is a service I provide my clients.

Identifying the available funds, hiring service providers, and just getting started can cause overwhelm and sometimes paralysis. As stated above, many homeowners have amazing home equity. Leveraging home equity can help a homeowner complete the projects that will make a better profit!  At Windermere, we have the Windermere Ready Program (WRP) which allows home sellers to tap into their equity before coming to market to get their homes market-ready.

Like the WBLP, the WRP is quickly approved, does not require an appraisal, and monthly payments are not required. We figure out which projects we want to focus on, gather bids from trusted contractors, create a budget, and apply. The funds are provided within 2 weeks and we can line up the work and start the transformation immediately.

I’ve seen simple flooring replacements and fresh paint transform a house. We’ve even done a full kitchen remodel to completely change up the vibe. The projects that warm my heart are helping elderly sellers sort through years of living and clearing the space for potential buyers to envision themselves in the home. Did you know that there are companies that help people sort and purge their belongings, so they are prepared to move on to their next chapter? Lastly, we can solve property issues with the WRP! Earlier this year, we discovered a failed septic system on a listing and we were able to utilize the WRP to tackle that fix and made it to the closing table at top dollar.

Markets are fast-paced and dynamic! Helping clients navigate the environment to protect their investment, strategize financing, and/or prepare their property are tasks that I take very seriously. Even if it is as simple or complicated as clearing a house for the market.  Whether we are evaluating these items for an immediate move or we are planning out years in the future providing this care matters to me! Please reach out if you or someone you know are curious about how the trends relate to their situation. It is my mission to help keep my clients well informed to empower strong decisions.

Monthly NewsletterThe More you Know April 3, 2024

New Year, New Laws! What This Means for Consumers Moving Forward.

BLOG Featured Image_Law Changes.jpg

Effective January 1, 2024, the statute in Washington that governs real estate brokerage relationships (RCW 18.86) otherwise known as the “Agency Law”–was significantly revised. The revisions modernize the 25-year-old law, provide additional transparency and consumer protections, and acknowledge the importance of buyer representation.

KEY REVISIONS

For decades, real estate brokerage firms were only required to enter into written agency agreements with sellers, not buyers. The Agency Law now requires firms to enter into a written “brokerage services agreement” (agency agreements) with any party the firm represents, both sellers and buyers.

This change is to ensure that buyers (in addition to sellers) clearly understand the terms of the firm’s representation and compensation, much like a listing agreement. The new agreements are called Buyer Brokerage Service Agreements (BBSA) and they are to be initiated in writing prior to or upon rendering real estate brokerage services, such as showing homes.

The services agreement with buyers must include:

  • The term of the agreement (with a default term of 60 days and an option for a longer term);
  • The name of the broker appointed to be the buyer’s agent;
  • Whether the agency relationship is exclusive or non-exclusive;
  • Whether the buyer consents to the individual broker representing both the buyer and the seller in the same transaction (referred to as limited dual agency”);
  • Whether the buyer consents to the broker’s designated broker/managing broker’s limited dual agency;
  • The amount the firm will be compensated and who will pay the compensation; and
  • Any other agreements between the parties.

Clearly communicated expectations between the buyer and their broker are an advantage to the buyer. Every party deserves representation, and it has been a long time coming for the law to pay as much attention to buyers as it has to sellers. Having competent representation on both sides of a transaction makes the process go smoother and reduces liability during and after the transaction. Afterall, everyone deserves competent representation during one of the biggest transactions they will partake in.

These changes are intended to elevate transparency in agency relationships for the consumer and encourage more detailed conversations about representation, compensation, and the overall homebuying process with the broker they chose to align with. This will also cause sellers to gain a better understanding of how buyer brokers are compensated.

What a seller chooses to offer a buyer broker could have a positive effect on their return. The only way a buyer can compensate their broker is with liquid cash or negotiating with the seller within the purchase and sale agreement when their BBSA doesn’t match the seller-offered compensation for the. If their BBSA matches what the seller is offering in the listing for the buyer broker compensation, then the buyer does not have to rely on the prior.

Compensation offered in a listing that mirrors the BBSA will allow a buyer to solely focus on the offer price of the home as they will not have to calculate the math of the compensation against their down-payment funds, as lending regulations do not allow for broker compensation to be financed. If a buyer has to set aside funds for compensation it would likely reduce their down payment amount which would increase their monthly payment and make them more price sensitive. It will also eliminate the compounding effect of compensation and the offer price being simultaneously negotiated.

I have always run my business in a very detailed fashion and pride myself on having a deep knowledge of the laws and the forms, and these changes are paramount. As an independent contractor affiliated with Windermere Real Estate, the leading company in our region, it is up to me to dig into the research and gain understanding to help guide my clients through these advancements in a compliant and service-oriented fashion. There are even aspects of these new laws that I have been practicing before the changes, as transparency is a cornerstone of my value to my clients.

These are the biggest changes we have seen in our industry in over two decades. Be aware that not all brokers will adapt as quickly or accurately. We are already seeing a gross difference between the informed and not informed; who one chooses to work with matters! If you have any further questions about how these new laws affect you, please reach out. If you are considering a move, I am committed to navigating the process with the utmost compliance and my client’s success at the forefront.

Market UpdateMonthly Newsletter April 3, 2024

3/29 NAR Update ACCURATE UPDATE: The Proposed NAR Settlement Agreement and How WA State Stands Out

As I am sure you have heard on the news, there is a proposed settlement agreement for the NAR (National Association of Realtors) Class Action Lawsuit. It has certainly stirred up plenty of headlines that have been glossy, and in many cases, inaccurate. Many of the reports and headlines have been national and it is important to note that WA state is unique and could have far fewer changes than the rest of the country if the settlement is approved.

The majority of the MLS’s (Multiple Listing Services) across the country are owned by NAR and our NWMLS (Northwest Multiple Listing Service) in WA, is not. NWMLS is not included in the settlement agreement as they are not NAR-owned. If the settlement is approved, they can choose to opt in, which is undecided at this point as it will require a vote of their board of directors.

In WA, new laws were enacted on January 1, 2024, that address many aspects that the settlement agreement is proposing. For years, WA brokers and NWMLS have been committed to elevating transparency around broker compensation, resulting in brokers in WA already doing business as many of the new proposals in the settlement agreement suggest.

You can refer to the newsletter I sent out (or message me for a copy) in early February that outlines the new laws that went into place on Jan 1. I am also happy to report that practicing under these new laws has been positive and productive for consumers and brokers a like.

The proposed settlement agreement still needs to be approved by the court. Once that is done, I will report back to explain how it will affect real estate operations in WA state. In the meantime, I also want to report that market activity in Q1 2024 has been positive! Price growth is up, buyer demand is strong, and inventory remains low. Seller equity is soaring; with home equity in King County averaging 60% and 57.5% in Snohomish County. These figures were reported in December 2023 and don’t account for the price growth we’ve seen in Q1. Interest rates are still hovering around the high 6% and are predicted to come down this year, yet remain volatile and stubborn. Please reach out if you or someone you know would like to learn more. It is always my goal to help keep my clients informed and empower strong decisions.

EastsideNorth King CountyNorth Snohomish CountyQuarterly Market UpdatesSeattle MetroSouth King CountySouth Snohomish County January 15, 2024

QUARTERLY REPORTS Q4 2023

The story of 2023 was balancing interest rates with home purchases and even home sales. The average weekly rate in 2023 was 6.8% and peaked in October at 7.94%. This caused some buyers to pause due to cost. Many sellers were reluctant to move and give up their low payments based on historically low rates, hence the large decrease in new listings in 2023.

Despite the highest rates we’ve seen in two decades, pending sales did not falter like new listings, indicating continued demand and resulting in a seller’s market. Inventory remained tight throughout 2023 and prices stable over 2022 (the peak) when the average rate was 5.34%. Since October, rates have come down by over 1%, bringing more buyers to the market. The Fed plans to continue this trend in 2024 which will increase buyer activity and new listings. 2024 will provide improved opportunities for all with a less stringent lending environment.

If you are curious about how the trends relate to your goals, please reach out. I strive to keep my clients well-informed and empower strong decisions.

Community Events & InformationMonthly Newsletter December 27, 2023

December is for Giving at Windermere North!

The holiday season can come and go in a flash, with the pressure and stress of gift shopping, family obligations, and wrapping up the year. One thing that I love about my office is that we all make it a priority to come together to lift up our neighbors in need during this time of year.

This year our holiday food drive brought in $3,115 and 1,787 pounds of food for Volunteers of America Western Washington food banks, just in time for the holidays. The current need in our area is high, and our local food banks need all the help they can get. These numbers are all thanks to friends and clients like you. Thank you for your generosity!

Next, we had the absolute joy to help bring some Christmas magic to homeless/housing insecure youth in our area. We partnered again this year with WA Kids in Transition, who work with social workers in the Edmonds School District to collect wish lists from students living in shelters, tents, cars, transitional housing or other temporary housing. Together, the brokers in my office provided gifts and hygiene items for 28 kids.

Then we provided $3,700 in grocery gift cards for 13 families, comprised of 60 individuals. Some of these families are unemployed or living in transitional housing, some are walking through grief and loss, and some are coming out of domestic violence. It is our privilege to partner with Pioneer Human Services, to help lift some of the burdens for these families.

Next, we always put together a volunteer group at Christmas House in Everett. Christmas House is a 100% volunteer, non-profit organization that provides an opportunity for qualifying, low-income, Snohomish County parents to select free holiday gifts for their children age infant-18. This is an amazing day helping families in need have a joyful Christmas.

 

Are you curious about the economy during these changing times?
Are you trying to make financial plans, but crave credible information to assist you?

Please join me for a very special virtual live event:

AN ECONOMIC FORECAST FOR 2024 & BEYOND
with Matthew Gardner
Notable Real Estate Economist

Wednesday, January 17, 2024  • 6:30 pm – 8 pm

Presentation from 6:30-7:30 pm, Q&A to follow

Please RSVP to me via phone, text, or email by January 12th, 2024 to receive an emailed link to access the event.

Monthly Newsletter November 15, 2023

Now or Later: When Rates Drop, Expect the Market to Tilt

The question that many potential buyers are asking themselves right now is: should I wait for rates to drop before I buy? Higher interest rates have certainly made monthly payments higher and challenged overall affordability, however it is important to consider creative financing options and what the impact on prices will be once rates lower.

Experts predict rates to decrease over the next 12-18 months. In fact, we have seen rates drop half a point over the last 30 days. Currently, the 30-year conventional rate is hovering about 7.5%. We saw a correction in prices when rates jumped by a point and crested 6% in mid-2022. Since Dec 2022, prices found their bottom, and price appreciation started happening again. Year-to-date, the average interest rate has been around 7% and prices have not been in a free fall, they have grown and remain stable.

Just like the correction that happened in 2022, it is safe to say there is a correlation between prices and rates. If the experts are correct and rates fall over the course of the next year or so, we should anticipate prices to increase. That is what hangs in the balance when making the decision of whether to buy now or later. The example to the right shows the effect that price appreciation will have despite rates being lower. It was not that long ago that we were experiencing bidding wars where homes escalated in the double digits. As you can see, the higher price results in a higher payment even with the lower rate.

If one is able to afford a purchase now with today’s rate, they can refinance when rates go down and save themselves a lot of money on their payment while keeping a fixed price. Additionally, if a buyer can secure a rate buydown, such as a 2-1 buydown, the higher rates can be overcome and a refinance can fix the rate when the rates drop.

Here is an example: let’s say you are shopping for a house and have the same $800,000 budget and a 20% down payment with today’s rate of 7.5%. The monthly principal and interest payment would be $4,475.00. You could do a 2-1 buydown (2-points lower in year one and 1-point lower in year 2) which would have your payment in year one be based on an interest rate of 5.5% with a monthly principal and interest payment of $3,534 – a savings of $841.00 per month. For year two, the monthly principal and interest would be based on 6.5% resulting in a monthly payment of $4.045.00, a $430.00 per month savings. The total savings in monthly payments with the 2-1 buy-down over the two years would be $15,252.00.

The roughly $15,000 in monthly payment savings is paid upfront at closing and in some cases paid by the seller. The buyer still needs to qualify based on the 7.5% interest rate as the payments will convert to the payment based on the 7.5% in year three moving forward. The strategy here is to never have the payment increase to 7.5% because the buyer plans to refinance when rates come down, and will permanently fix their rate below 7.5%. A bonus is that if the entire $15,000 credit has not been used yet, in some cases those funds can be applied towards the refinance.

You see, there are many options to consider when a buyer is balancing rates, prices, payments, and their desire to make a move. I understand that I am in the business of helping people navigate big life changes while ensuring their financial investment is sound. I felt it was an important message to share these examples in case you or someone you know was thinking about making a purchase but was feeling confused or stifled by the current rate environment. If you want to learn more or need a referral to a reputable lender, please reach out. It is always my goal to help keep my clients well-informed and empower strong decisions.

 

 

 

As we approach the Thanksgiving holiday, I want to let you know how grateful I am for YOU! Your friendship, support, and referrals have helped fuel my business and support my family. Thank you!

Real estate is a career that gives me the opportunity to be a meaningful part of my clients’ lives as they navigate important moves that have a great financial impact. I take the responsibility of guiding my clients through this process very seriously and know that when someone places this trust in me that it is a big deal! It is an honor to be a part of your big-picture planning and to help you execute these life changes with care and success.

My Thanksgiving would not be complete without taking a moment to say thank you and that I appreciate you so much! I hope your holiday is filled with happiness, rest, and all the people that are nearest and dearest to your heart.

Community Events & InformationMarket UpdateMonthly NewsletterThe More you Know October 23, 2023

New Agency Law Changes: Transparency, Consumer Protection & Commitment

On January 1, 2024, major changes to the Law of Agency will go into effect. These changes result from the real estate industry in the state of Washington wanting to elevate the level of transparency and consumer protection surrounding buyer representation. Senate Bill 5191 was voted into law requiring adjustments in how brokers operate when working with buyers.

Before I get into the details of the specific changes below, I wanted to explain why these changes are being made and the benefits to the consumer. It has been a long time coming for the buyer side of a transaction to be better defined with regards to representation, compensation, and the level of commitment the buyer and broker have to each other.

The seller side of a transaction has always required a separate contract (a Listing Agreement) that outlines these three important items. It has always been a bit shocking to me that the state did not require such a contract for a buyer and broker. Under new legislation set to take effect on January 1, 2024, buyers and brokers will be required to have a signed contract, a Buyer Brokerage Service Agreement (BBSA). This new contract will provide a consistent and professional guidepost to help everyone understand the buyer and broker relationship, just like a seller and broker do when they enter into a listing agreement.

The opportunity to set clear expectations through this new agreement and give both parties the choice to willingly agree to them will help buyers understand how their broker gets paid, cover industry norms, dig into who represents who and where that advocacy starts and ends, and communicate a transparent commitment to each other. I think this is powerful and meaningful for both buyers and brokers. Buying a home is a serious matter and outlining via a contract what is mandated by state law both clarifies and formalizes the relationship for both sides. Most importantly, it is a choice of who the buyer and broker enter into a contract with. The conversations that will surround these choices will be empowering for all parties involved.

Let’s face it, buying a house is not an easy task, nor is guiding someone successfully through the process. It is about time the law follows the call of duty and requires a clear explanation of how buyer representation works and encourage a clearly communicated partnership. I’ve always believed that having consistent processes in my business leads to a better outcome for my clients. This advancement for our industry will elevate these processes and in turn, raise the bar.

I plan to embrace these changes, as I see them as a benefit to my clients and our industry. The clarity these agreements provide will lead to fewer surprises, stronger bonds, and higher efficiency. I am prepared and excited to embrace this as a benefit for all parties involved in a real estate transaction.

Key Revisions
For years, real estate brokerage firms were only required to enter into written agreements with sellers, not buyers. Beginning on January 1, 2024, the Agency Law will require firms to enter into a written “brokerage services agreement” with any party the firm represents, both sellers and buyers. This change is to ensure that buyers (in addition to sellers) clearly understand the terms of the firm’s representation and compensation.

The services agreement with buyers must include:

  • The term of the agreement (how long the buyer and broker are committed to working together);
  • The name of the broker appointed to be the buyer’s agent;
  • Whether the agency relationship is exclusive or non-exclusive;
  • Whether the buyer consents to the individual broker representing both the buyer and the seller in the same transaction (referred to as “limited dual agency”);
  • Whether the buyer consents to the broker’s designated broker/managing broker’s limited dual agency;
  • The amount the firm will be compensated and who will pay the compensation; and
  • Any other agreements between the parties.

All of these options are outlined in the new BBSA contract and will be presented and discussed before deciding to embark on the home-buying journey together. It will eliminate any guesswork and encourage a strong work relationship surrounding an incredibly important task. This will help my clients understand my level of commitment and professionalism, and how I help my clients achieve effective results.

I have provided the links to the new Agency Pamphlet and the revisions to Senate Bill 5191 below for your review. If you have any questions or are thinking about making a purchase in 2024, please reach out. It is always my goal to help keep my clients well-informed and empower strong decisions. I am happy to bring this information to you ahead of the change, so you are well prepared should you have any real estate changes coming your way in the future.

Revised Pamphlet. The pamphlet entitled “Real Estate Brokerage in Washington” provides an overview of the revised Agency Law.
Revised Agency Law. Substitute Senate Bill 5191 sets forth the revised Agency Law in its entirety.

 

 

 

Check out the latest Mondays with Matthew (Matthew Gardner, Windermere’s Chief Economist) that addresses inventory levels, interest rates, existing home sales, and the price stability we have experienced since the first of the year. Despite higher interest rates, historically low inventory has kept prices stable!

Please note that I will be hosting a Virtual Economic Forecast Event with Matthew on the evening of Wednesday, January 17th, 2024. There will be a lot to cover as 2023 was a transitional year and 2024 is an election year! Be on the lookout for more information and save the date if you would like to attend.

EastsideMarket UpdateNorth King CountyNorth Snohomish CountyQuarterly Market UpdatesSeattle MetroSouth King CountySouth Snohomish County October 23, 2023

QUARTERLY REPORTS Q3 2023

Tight inventory and buyer demand helped fuel the market in the third quarter of 2023 despite rising interest rates. There have been fewer listings in 2023 than in 2022 which has created price growth since the first of the year. Prices peaked in spring 2022, corrected in the second half of 2022, and then they started to rise again in 2023. Home equity is high with over 50% of all homeowners having 50% or more equity in their homes.

Higher interest rates have been a factor that buyers are having to manage. Some buyers are getting creative with interest rate buy-downs to help ease their monthly payments. Experts predict that rates will decrease over the next 18 months making temporary rate buy-downs attractive.

As we finish out 2023, we anticipate inventory to remain tight and buyer demand to continue. Sellers who are deciding to cash in their equity now are finding success. If you are curious about how the real estate market relates to your goals, please reach out. It is my goal to help keep my clients informed and empower strong decisions.

Market UpdateMonthly NewsletterThe More you Know October 2, 2023

The Low Inventory Effect: Nationally & Close to Home

The video below from Matthew Gardner, Windermere’s Chief Economist, refers to the effects of constricted inventory levels on the national housing market in a higher interest rate environment. Review the localized numbers that I gathered that pertain to King and Snohomish Counties and then check out what he has to say about the national trends.

Overall, inventory has been tight in 2023! Many people made moves in the pandemic-fueled market and are deciding to stay put. They utilized the lower interest rates to secure their long-term home and don’t see a need to move anytime soon. Did you know the average person stays in their home for 10 years?

Others are not completely satisfied with their homes but feel attached to the lower rate and are pushing through the discomfort until rates settle. Some are deciding to come to market because their homes do not fit their lives anymore and some are bucking the rates and getting creative with financing. The buyers working the creative financing route with rate buy-downs will be rewarded when rates lower and prices go up.

Year-to-date new listings in King County are down 30% over 2022 and down 37% in Snohomish County. Closed sales are down 27% over 2022 in King County and down 27% in Snohomish County. Even though there have been fewer new listings year-over-year, the closed sale percentage is tracking more favorably which demonstrates buyer demand. This is why inventory is tight. In August 2023 there were 1.3 months of inventory in King County and 1.1 months in Snohomish County. This illustrates a seller’s market.

Closed sales peaked in 2021 in both counties at 20,132 in King County and 8,663 in Snohomish County. As we venture away from these outlier pandemic years, consumers are wrapping their heads around the changing environment. Year-to-date, King County has had 16,069 closed sales and 5,344 in Snohomish County. Year-to-date, King County is pacing slightly higher than 2019, which was a normal market prior to the pandemic and Snohomish County is lagging behind by just a bit.

The pace of inventory has helped stabilize prices and created price growth since the start of 2023. Buyer demand exists because people’s lives change and we have the Millennial generation out in full force. If your life is leading you to consider a move, please reach out. Please do not rely on the noise in the media, they will lead you astray.

I can help you dig into the data and devise a plan that relates to YOUR life. With equity levels astoundingly high (over 50% of homeowners in the U.S. have over 50% equity), moves are being made with great success. For buyers, the rates can be overcome with some creativity, lived with for now, or you can set a benchmark for when you’re ready. If you are curious about how today’s market relates to your goals or want to make a plan for the future, let’s talk! It is always my goal to help keep my clients informed and empower strong decisions.

 

 

 

 

 

Were you like me and turned the heat on when the rain came this week?  It’s that time of year when our heating systems need to be attended to, to be properly prepared for the colder months ahead.

Have your air and ventilation systems inspected by the professionals to ensure efficient and healthy airflow. This will also ensure that your systems are running safely and lower your risk of fire.  Note: if you need to purchase or replace any major household appliances, September and October are usually when the latest models are revealed.